US Broiler Supply & Disposition
July 25, 2008
**SAMPLE DATA**
Beginning
Liveweight
R-T-C
Total
Exports
Ending
Consumption
Stocks
Production
Production
Supply
Stocks
Total
Per Capita
Per Capita
million lbs
million lbs
million lbs
million lbs
million lbs
million lbs
million lbs
lbs carcass wt
lbs retail wt
1 Q 2003
763
7.2%
10,555
-0.7%
7,786
-0.4%
8,549
0.2%
1,194
-4.8%
659
-18.0%
6,696
3.4%
23.1
2.4%
19.8
2.4%
2 Q 2003
659
-18.0%
11,195
0.6%
8,275
0.5%
8,934
-1.1%
1,169
2.6%
680
-19.9%
7,085
0.5%
24.4
-0.5%
20.9
-0.5%
3 Q 2003
680
-19.9%
11,413
2.2%
8,448
2.4%
9,127
0.3%
1,184
-2.0%
630
-24.0%
7,314
3.5%
25.1
2.5%
21.6
2.5%
4 Q 2003
630
-24.0%
11,154
3.4%
8,240
3.8%
8,870
1.2%
1,384
13.2%
632
-17.1%
6,854
1.1%
23.5
0.1%
20.2
0.1%
2003
763
7.2%
44,318
1.4%
32,749
1.6%
33,512
1.7%
4,931
2.2%
632
-17.1%
27,948
2.1%
96.0
1.1%
82.5
1.1%
1 Q 2004
608
-20.2%
11,127
5.4%
8,195
5.2%
8,803
3.0%
1,026
-14.1%
600
-9.0%
7,177
7.2%
24.5
6.2%
21.1
6.2%
2 Q 2004
600
-9.0%
11,486
2.6%
8,492
2.6%
9,092
1.8%
1,010
-13.6%
770
13.3%
7,312
3.2%
24.9
2.3%
21.4
2.3%
3 Q 2004
770
13.3%
11,962
4.8%
8,839
4.6%
9,609
5.3%
1,253
5.9%
774
22.8%
7,582
3.7%
25.8
2.8%
22.2
2.8%
4 Q 2004
774
22.8%
11,535
3.4%
8,537
3.6%
9,311
5.0%
1,489
7.6%
713
12.8%
7,109
3.7%
24.1
2.8%
20.7
2.8%
2004
608
-20.2%
46,109
4.0%
34,063
4.0%
34,672
3.5%
4,778
-3.1%
713
12.8%
29,180
4.4%
99.4
3.5%
85.4
3.5%
1 Q 2005
713
17.3%
11,529
3.6%
8,588
4.8%
9,302
5.7%
1,202
17.2%
671
11.8%
7,429
3.5%
25.2
2.6%
21.6
2.6%
2 Q 2005
671
11.8%
12,017
4.6%
8,934
5.2%
9,605
5.6%
1,351
33.7%
688
-10.7%
7,566
3.5%
25.6
2.5%
22.0
2.5%
3 Q 2005
688
-10.7%
12,044
0.7%
8,939
1.1%
9,626
0.2%
1,318
5.2%
753
-2.7%
7,555
-0.4%
25.5
-1.3%
21.9
-1.3%
4 Q 2005
753
-2.7%
11,989
3.9%
8,904
4.3%
9,657
3.7%
1,290
-13.4%
924
29.5%
7,443
4.7%
25.0
3.7%
21.5
3.7%
2005
713
17.3%
47,579
3.2%
35,365
3.8%
36,078
4.1%
5,161
8.0%
924
29.5%
29,994
2.8%
101.2
1.8%
86.9
1.8%
1 Q 2006
924
29.5%
12,024
4.3%
8,938
4.1%
9,861
6.0%
1,341
11.6%
864
28.9%
7,655
3.0%
25.7
2.1%
22.1
2.1%
2 Q 2006
864
28.9%
12,266
2.1%
9,130
2.2%
9,994
4.1%
1,302
-3.6%
773
12.5%
7,919
4.7%
26.5
3.7%
22.8
3.7%
3 Q 2006
773
12.5%
12,040
0.0%
8,884
-0.6%
9,658
0.3%
1,227
-6.9%
699
-7.2%
7,731
2.3%
25.8
1.4%
22.2
1.4%
4 Q 2006
699
-7.2%
12,002
0.1%
8,801
-1.2%
9,500
-1.6%
1,416
9.8%
745
-19.3%
7,339
-1.4%
24.4
-2.3%
21.0
-2.3%
2006
924
29.5%
48,333
1.6%
35,752
1.1%
36,676
1.7%
5,286
2.4%
745
-19.3%
30,644
2.2%
102.4
1.2%
88.0
1.2%
1 Q 2007
745
-19.3%
11,732
-2.4%
8,625
-3.5%
9,370
-5.0%
1,280
-4.6%
595
-31.2%
7,495
-2.1%
24.9
-3.0%
21.4
-3.0%
2 Q 2007
595
-31.2%
12,369
0.8%
9,085
-0.5%
9,680
-3.1%
1,399
7.5%
636
-17.7%
7,644
-3.5%
25.3
-4.4%
21.8
-4.4%
3 Q 2007
636
-17.7%
12,369
2.7%
9,131
2.8%
9,768
1.1%
1,500
22.3%
648
-7.3%
7,619
-1.5%
25.2
-2.4%
21.6
-2.4%
4 Q 2007
648
-7.3%
12,574
4.8%
9,285
5.5%
9,933
4.6%
1,618
14.3%
739
-0.8%
7,575
3.2%
25.0
2.2%
21.5
2.2%
2007
745
-19.3%
49,043
1.5%
36,126
1.0%
36,871
0.5%
5,799
9.7%
739
-0.8%
30,333
-1.0%
100.4
-2.0%
86.3
-2.0%
1 Q 2008
739
-0.8%
12,359
5.3%
9,108
5.6%
9,847
5.1%
1,514
18.3%
763
28.3%
7,569
1.0%
24.9
0.0%
21.4
0.0%
2 Q 2008
763
28.3%
12,704
2.7%
9,409
3.6%
10,172
5.1%
1,853
32.4%
764
20.0%
7,555
-1.2%
24.8
-2.1%
21.3
-2.1%
3 Q 2008
764
20.0%
12,322
-0.4%
9,116
-0.2%
9,880
1.1%
1,672
11.4%
720
11.1%
7,488
-1.7%
24.5
-2.7%
21.1
-2.7%
4 Q 2008
720
11.1%
12,227
-2.8%
9,031
-2.7%
9,751
-1.8%
1,738
7.4%
712
-3.6%
7,301
-3.6%
23.9
-4.5%
20.5
-4.5%
2008
739
-0.8%
49,611
1.2%
36,664
1.5%
37,403
1.4%
6,776
16.9%
712
-3.6%
29,914
-1.4%
98.1
-2.3%
84.3
-2.3%
shaded area EMI Analytics forecast
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