Broiler Supply Forecast
7/25/08
shaded area EMI Analytics forecast
**SAMPLE DATA**
Broiler Slaughter, USDA million head   © EMI Analytics
  JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC JFM AMJ JAS OND ANN
2001 711 627 701 676 756 709 709 776 653 770 668 651 2,039 2,141 2,139 2,088 8,406
2002 738 656 689 733 762 685 756 758 687 773 647 663 2,082 2,180 2,201 2,083 8,546
2003 725 634 683 713 Text Box: SAMPLE
727
715 763 724 729 782 627 715 2,042 2,155 2,216 2,124 8,537
2004 721 646 765 728 715 749 742 771 755 731 708 723 2,132 2,191 2,267 2,162 8,752
2005 720 672 769 715 758 772 720 794 750 746 720 718 2,161 2,245 2,264 2,184 8,854
2006 745 678 778 694 787 763 717 793 712 775 716 679 2,201 2,245 2,223 2,170 8,838
2007 751 668 729 714 784 749 757 799 708 812 726 702 2,148 2,246 2,264 2,240 8,898
2008 786 713 726 771 762 747 784 718 765 792 646 750 2,225 2,280 2,267 2,188 8,960
% chg 06 to 07 0.8% -1.5% -6.2% 2.8% -0.4% -1.9% 5.6% 0.7% -0.6% 4.7% 1.5% 3.4% -2.4% 0.1% 1.9% 3.2% 0.7%
% chg 07 to 08 4.7% 6.8% -0.5% 8.1% -2.8% -0.3% 3.6% -10.1% 8.0% -2.4% -11.0% 6.8% 3.6% 1.5% 0.1% -2.3% 0.7%
Broiler Slaughter per Kill Day, EMI Analytics Calculation million head   © EMI Analytics
  JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC JFM AMJ JAS OND ANN
2001 32.3 31.4 31.9 32.2 34.3 33.8 33.8 33.7 34.4 33.5 31.8 32.5 31.84 33.43 33.97 32.60 32.96
2002 33.5 32.8 32.8 33.3 34.6 34.3 34.4 34.5 34.3 33.6 32.4 31.5 33.04 34.08 34.38 32.51 33.50
2003 33.0 31.7 32.5 32.4 Text Box: SAMPLE
34.6
34.0 34.7 34.5 34.7 34.0 33.0 32.5 32.40 33.69 34.62 33.17 33.47
2004 34.3 32.3 33.3 33.1 35.7 34.0 35.3 35.0 35.9 34.8 33.7 34.4 33.30 34.28 35.43 34.31 34.33
2005 34.3 33.6 33.4 34.0 36.1 35.1 36.0 34.5 35.7 35.5 34.3 34.2 33.77 35.08 35.41 34.67 34.73
2006 33.9 33.9 33.8 34.7 35.8 34.7 35.9 34.5 35.6 35.2 34.1 34.0 33.86 35.06 35.32 34.42 34.67
2007 32.6 33.4 33.2 34.0 35.6 35.7 36.0 34.7 37.3 35.3 34.6 35.1 33.06 35.09 36.02 34.99 34.79
2008 35.7 34.0 34.6 35.1 36.3 35.6 35.6 34.2 36.4 34.4 34.0 34.1 34.75 35.64 35.42 34.18 34.99
% chg 06 to 07 -3.6% -1.5% -1.9% -2.1% -0.4% 2.7% 0.5% 0.7% 4.6% 0.2% 1.5% 3.4% -2.4% 0.1% 2.0% 1.7% 0.4%
% chg 07 to 08 9.5% 1.7% 4.2% 3.2% 1.8% -0.3% -1.1% -1.6% -2.3% -2.4% -1.7% -2.9% 5.1% 1.5% -1.7% -2.3% 0.6%
Slaughter Days per Month, EMI Calculation days   © EMI Analytics
  JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC JFM AMJ JAS OND ANN
2001 22 20 22 21 22 21 21 23 19 23 21 20 64 64 63 64 255
2002 22 20 21 22 22 20 22 22 20 23 20 21 63 64 64 64 255
2003 22 20 21 22 21 Text Box: SAMPLE
21
22 21 21 23 19 22 63 64 64 64 255
2004 21 20 23 22 20 22 21 22 21 21 21 21 64 64 64 63 255
2005 21 20 23 21 21 22 20 23 21 21 21 21 64 64 64 63 255
2006 22 20 23 20 22 22 20 23 20 22 21 20 65 64 63 63 255
2007 23 20 22 21 22 21 21 23 19 23 21 20 65 64 63 64 256
2008 22 21 21 22 21 21 22 21 21 23 19 22 64 64 64 64 256
% chg 06 to 07 4.5% 0.0% -4.3% 5.0% 0.0% -4.5% 5.0% 0.0% -5.0% 4.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 1.6% 0.4%
% chg 07 to 08 -4.3% 5.0% -4.5% 4.8% -4.5% 0.0% 4.8% -8.7% 10.5% 0.0% -9.5% 10.0% -1.5% 0.0% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0%
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