Turkey Supply Forecast
July 23, 2008
shaded area forecast
**SAMPLE DATA**
Ending Inventories Whole Toms, USDA million pounds   © EMI Analytics
  JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC JFM AMJ JAS OND ANN
2002 84.8 117.3 126.3 146.8 159.6 177.8 196.8 180.7 195.0 179.7 45.6 41.3 126.3 177.8 195.0 41.3 41.3
2003 96.0 117.8 148.3 159.3 Text Box: SAMPLE
184.3
213.3 225.0 226.1 227.2 198.9 77.1 75.8 148.3 213.3 227.2 75.8 75.8
2004 107.8 133.1 151.4 159.1 169.1 185.0 188.8 189.2 185.0 156.5 68.6 63.0 151.4 185.0 185.0 63.0 63.0
2005 74.0 104.5 124.3 138.0 145.3 162.5 168.6 167.9 158.1 132.5 30.5 25.5 124.3 162.5 158.1 25.5 25.5
2006 45.0 68.8 89.4 96.2 119.9 125.5 132.7 129.7 124.7 111.8 32.3 31.0 89.4 125.5 124.7 31.0 31.0
2007 57.9 69.2 84.7 83.8 109.0 129.8 148.3 164.4 153.3 127.0 26.2 37.2 84.7 129.8 153.3 37.2 37.2
2008 54.4 79.7 96.0 110.3 115.5 137.4 153.9 158.9 150.1 125.7 44.5 49.3 96.0 137.4 150.1 49.3 49.3
% chg 06 to 07 28.75% 0.59% -5.25% -12.92% -9.02% 3.40% 11.74% 26.74% 22.92% 13.59% -18.82% 19.90% -5.25% 3.40% 22.92% 19.90% 19.90%
% chg 07 to 08 -6.13% 15.24% 13.34% 31.69% 5.87% 5.87% 3.76% -3.30% -2.14% -0.99% 69.87% 32.46% 13.34% 5.87% -2.14% 32.46% 32.46%
Ending Inventories Whole Hens, USDA million pounds   © EMI Analytics
  JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC JFM AMJ JAS OND ANN
2002 52.3 83.9 95.6 114.2 141.3 162.6 169.5 163.5 159.6 131.5 47.1 40.6 95.6 162.6 159.6 40.6 40.6
2003 64.5 78.0 88.9 101.8 Text Box: SAMPLE
115.7
130.6 150.1 148.9 151.7 129.3 54.3 47.5 88.9 130.6 151.7 47.5 47.5
2004 72.0 92.2 103.8 108.6 118.4 126.9 126.6 119.5 105.3 91.8 48.5 43.1 103.8 126.9 105.3 43.1 43.1
2005 61.8 76.9 85.7 91.1 97.8 104.5 117.7 128.6 107.5 90.5 25.8 27.1 85.7 104.5 107.5 27.1 27.1
2006 41.6 56.0 74.3 85.7 98.0 109.9 114.4 114.5 108.9 88.2 32.1 32.9 74.3 109.9 108.9 32.9 32.9
2007 64.9 76.7 86.1 92.4 102.3 111.2 121.2 133.8 119.3 93.8 30.6 38.4 86.1 111.2 119.3 38.4 38.4
2008 43.5 75.6 84.2 102.5 117.1 120.4 113.8 118.5 106.1 86.3 38.6 43.0 84.2 120.4 106.1 43.0 43.0
% chg 06 to 07 55.97% 36.96% 15.86% 7.78% 4.47% 1.25% 5.96% 16.82% 9.58% 6.36% -4.66% 16.63% 15.86% 1.25% 9.58% 16.63% 16.63%
% chg 07 to 08 -32.93% -1.49% -2.29% 11.03% 14.45% 8.24% -6.12% -11.43% -11.05% -8.03% 26.23% 11.91% -2.29% 8.24% -11.05% 11.91% 11.91%
Ending Inventories Whole (Hens and Toms), USDA million pounds   © EMI Analytics
  JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC JFM AMJ JAS OND ANN
2002 137.1 201.2 221.9 260.9 300.9 340.4 366.3 344.2 354.6 311.3 92.7 81.9 221.9 340.4 354.6 81.9 81.9
2003 160.5 195.8 237.2 261.1 Text Box: SAMPLE
300.0
343.8 375.1 374.9 379.0 328.2 131.3 123.4 237.2 343.8 379.0 123.4 123.4
2004 179.8 225.3 255.2 267.7 287.5 312.0 315.4 308.7 290.3 248.3 117.1 106.1 255.2 312.0 290.3 106.1 106.1
2005 135.7 181.4 210.0 229.1 243.1 267.0 286.3 296.4 265.6 223.0 56.3 52.6 210.0 267.0 265.6 52.6 52.6
2006 86.6 124.8 163.8 181.9 217.8 235.4 247.1 244.2 233.6 200.0 64.4 64.0 163.8 235.4 233.6 64.0 64.0
2007 122.8 145.9 170.9 176.1 211.4 241.0 269.5 298.1 272.7 220.8 56.8 75.6 170.9 241.0 272.7 75.6 75.6
2008 97.9 156.3 180.2 212.8 232.6 257.8 267.6 277.4 256.2 212.0 83.1 92.3 180.2 257.8 256.2 92.3 92.3
% chg 06 to 07 41.83% 16.92% 4.34% -3.16% -2.96% 2.40% 9.06% 22.09% 16.70% 10.40% -11.77% 18.22% 4.34% 2.40% 16.70% 18.22% 18.22%
% chg 07 to 08 -20.29% 7.13% 5.46% 20.86% 10.03% 6.96% -0.68% -6.94% -6.04% -3.98% 46.36% 22.02% 5.46% 6.96% -6.04% 22.02% 22.02%
Ending Inventories All Other Turkey, USDA million pounds   © EMI Analytics
  JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC JFM AMJ JAS OND ANN
2002 189.9 212.1 235.7 254.2 277.3 303.7 339.9 341.4 317.8 313.7 241.6 251.2 235.7 303.7 317.8 251.2 251.2
2003 291.4 296.9 312.1 312.3 Text Box: SAMPLE
358.8
374.4 347.4 331.6 268.6 254.5 219.3 230.7 312.1 374.4 268.6 230.7 230.7
2004 240.7 246.4 249.3 281.1 283.6 285.6 284.2 291.5 237.1 224.1 177.8 182.3 249.3 285.6 237.1 182.3 182.3
2005 197.2 198.0 204.2 211.0 222.8 239.4 232.6 226.7 212.2 194.6 138.4 153.6 204.2 239.4 212.2 153.6 153.6
2006 173.9 190.9 214.0 241.9 248.7 272.1 265.2 256.0 230.6 204.2 150.2 154.4 214.0 272.1 230.6 154.4 154.4
2007 170.5 167.0 175.9 184.1 186.6 207.4 234.1 226.2 232.2 196.2 150.1 185.0 175.9 207.4 232.2 185.0 185.0
2008 229.7 260.4 248.0 278.5 283.8 304.9 296.8 272.8 265.3 250.2 181.9 180.3 248.0 304.9 265.3 180.3 180.3
% chg 06 to 07 -1.91% -12.52% -17.79% -23.88% -24.96% -23.77% -11.72% -11.64% 0.72% -3.92% -0.06% 19.81% -17.79% -23.77% 0.72% 19.81% 19.81%
% chg 07 to 08 34.68% 55.94% 40.94% 51.24% 52.10% 47.01% 26.78% 20.59% 14.25% 27.55% 21.22% -2.54% 40.94% 47.01% 14.25% -2.54% -2.54%
Ending Inventories All Turkey, USDA million pounds   © EMI Analytics
  JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC JFM AMJ JAS OND ANN
2002 327.1 413.2 457.6 515.2 578.2 644.1 706.2 685.6 672.4 624.9 334.3 333.0 457.6 644.1 672.4 333.0 333.0
2003 451.9 492.7 549.3 Text Box: SAMPLE
573.5
658.8 718.2 722.5 706.5 647.5 582.7 350.7 354.0 549.3 718.2 647.5 354.0 354.0
2004 420.5 471.7 504.6 548.8 571.1 597.6 599.6 600.2 527.4 472.3 294.9 288.4 504.6 597.6 527.4 288.4 288.4
2005 332.9 379.4 414.2 440.1 465.9 506.3 518.9 523.1 477.8 417.6 194.7 206.2 414.2 506.3 477.8 206.2 206.2
2006 260.5 315.7 377.7 423.7 466.5 507.5 512.2 500.3 464.2 404.2 214.5 218.4 377.7 507.5 464.2 218.4 218.4
2007 293.4 312.9 346.8 360.2 398.0 448.4 503.5 524.4 504.9 417.0 206.9 260.6 346.8 448.4 504.9 260.6 260.6
2008 327.6 416.7 428.1 491.3 516.4 562.7 564.4 550.3 521.5 462.2 265.0 272.5 428.1 562.7 521.5 272.5 272.5
% chg 06 to 07 12.63% -0.89% -8.20% -14.99% -14.68% -11.64% -1.69% 4.82% 8.77% 3.17% -3.57% 19.34% -8.20% -11.64% 8.77% 19.34% 19.34%
% chg 07 to 08 11.66% 33.18% 23.46% 36.38% 29.75% 25.49% 12.08% 4.94% 3.29% 10.85% 28.13% 4.59% 23.46% 25.49% 3.29% 4.59% 4.59%
 
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