Turkey Supply Forecast
July 23, 2008
shaded area forecast
**SAMPLE DATA**
US Per Capita Turkey Consumption,
EMI Analytics calculation
pounds
© EMI Analytics
JAN
FEB
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
OCT
NOV
DEC
JFM
AMJ
JAS
OND
ANN
2002
1.2
1.1
1.2
1.4
1.4
1.2
1.4
1.6
1.4
1.8
2.6
1.5
3.6
3.9
4.4
5.9
17.8
2003
1.1
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.2
1.3
1.5
1.4
1.6
1.8
2.2
1.3
3.6
3.9
4.6
5.4
17.5
2004
1.2
1.1
1.4
1.3
1.3
1.4
1.4
1.4
1.6
1.6
2.1
1.4
3.6
4.0
4.4
5.0
17.1
2005
1.2
1.1
1.3
1.2
1.3
1.4
1.2
1.4
1.5
1.6
2.2
1.3
3.6
3.9
4.2
5.1
16.8
2006
1.2
1.1
1.3
1.2
1.4
1.4
1.3
1.5
1.5
1.8
2.1
1.2
3.5
3.9
4.3
5.2
17.0
2007
1.2
1.3
1.3
1.3
1.4
1.4
1.3
1.5
1.4
2.0
2.3
1.2
3.8
4.1
4.2
5.5
17.6
2008
1.4
1.2
1.4
1.3
1.5
1.4
1.6
1.5
1.6
2.0
2.0
1.4
4.0
4.1
4.6
5.4
18.1
% chg 06 to 07
2.48%
19.58%
4.18%
14.84%
2.59%
-2.73%
-1.49%
-1.91%
-4.90%
12.79%
5.77%
-4.44%
8.29%
4.35%
-2.80%
5.78%
3.79%
% chg 07 to 08
17.12%
-6.14%
3.83%
-2.65%
3.86%
0.35%
18.80%
-0.76%
11.95%
-3.70%
-10.96%
19.98%
4.69%
0.56%
9.64%
-1.59%
2.96%
Total US Turkey Consumption,
EMI Analytics calculation
million pounds
© EMI Analytics
JAN
FEB
MAR
APR
MAY
JUN
JUL
AUG
SEP
OCT
NOV
DEC
JFM
AMJ
JAS
OND
ANN
2002
358
313
350
394
389
354
393
459
415
531
743
428
1,021
1,137
1,268
1,702
5,128
2003
325
351
370
414
351
378
446
421
463
537
637
392
1,047
1,143
1,329
1,566
5,085
2004
338
318
409
377
389
401
413
417
480
473
609
398
1,066
1,168
1,309
1,481
5,024
2005
365
320
380
367
383
401
370
429
444
490
651
374
1,065
1,151
1,243
1,514
4,973
2006
352
320
382
349
408
416
401
450
443
542
642
372
1,053
1,173
1,295
1,555
5,076
2007
364
386
401
405
423
408
399
446
426
617
685
359
1,152
1,236
1,270
1,661
5,318
2008
430
366
421
398
443
414
478
447
481
600
616
435
1,217
1,254
1,406
1,650
5,528
% chg 06 to 07
3.48%
20.75%
5.19%
15.95%
3.58%
-1.79%
-0.54%
-0.96%
-3.99%
13.88%
6.78%
-3.53%
9.34%
5.36%
-1.87%
6.79%
4.78%
% chg 07 to 08
18.24%
-5.25%
4.83%
-1.72%
4.85%
1.31%
19.93%
0.19%
13.02%
-2.78%
-10.11%
21.12%
5.69%
1.53%
10.69%
-0.64%
3.94%