Turkey Supply Forecast
July 23, 2008
shaded area forecast
**SAMPLE DATA**
Young Turkey RTC Production, USDA million pounds   © EMI Analytics
  JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC JFM AMJ JAS OND ANN
2002 478 445 444 486 495 449 482 476 439 520 488 458 1,367 1,430 1,396 1,466 5,660
2003 474 428 465 471 Text Box: SAMPLE
477
478 486 449 454 523 450 436 1,366 1,425 1,389 1,409 5,589
2004 435 396 467 445 445 463 456 464 452 462 480 434 1,298 1,354 1,372 1,376 5,399
2005 451 406 459 443 457 486 428 484 451 479 478 434 1,316 1,386 1,362 1,392 5,456
2006 443 413 488 430 493 504 454 494 457 536 500 423 1,344 1,428 1,404 1,459 5,634
2007 481 444 479 461 508 504 501 517 456 583 523 457 1,404 1,472 1,475 1,563 5,914
2008 545 504 484 516 518 511 531 486 505 594 470 492 1,533 1,545 1,522 1,556 6,156
% chg 06 to 07 8.55% 7.53% -1.78% 7.04% 3.03% -0.07% 10.54% 4.73% -0.02% 8.74% 4.67% 8.00% 4.49% 3.14% 5.06% 7.13% 4.97%
% chg 07 to 08 13.27% 13.42% 1.10% 12.01% 2.00% 1.40% 5.92% -5.92% 10.60% 1.90% -10.09% 7.49% 9.17% 4.93% 3.22% -0.47% 4.08%
Old Turkey RTC Production, USDA million pounds   © EMI Analytics
  JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC JFM AMJ JAS OND ANN
2002 4.8 3.4 3.0 4.9 2.3 3.5 3.9 6.0 5.8 5.6 4.4 5.5 11.2 10.6 15.7 15.5 53.0
2003 6.3 3.6 3.8 3.3 Text Box: SAMPLE
4.9
4.9 7.9 6.4 6.0 5.7 5.2 3.3 13.8 13.1 20.2 14.2 61.3
2004 4.5 2.2 4.3 4.0 3.8 4.3 5.5 5.9 6.7 4.6 3.6 5.5 11.0 12.2 18.0 13.7 55.0
2005 4.2 3.4 3.6 3.2 4.0 4.2 4.4 4.8 3.7 5.2 4.6 3.3 11.2 11.5 12.9 13.1 48.6
2006 3.9 2.6 4.1 4.7 2.6 4.9 5.5 5.8 4.3 4.6 4.9 4.1 10.6 12.2 15.6 13.7 52.0
2007 3.9 2.1 2.7 2.1 4.0 3.4 3.6 5.0 4.7 3.5 4.2 4.0 8.7 9.5 13.2 11.7 43.1
2008 2.3 2.4 3.5 4.4 2.8 4.2 4.8 5.4 4.9 4.5 4.4 4.2 8.2 11.4 15.2 13.1 48.0
% chg 06 to 07 0.59% -20.07% -34.31% -54.34% 53.65% -31.88% -35.62% -13.23% 8.23% -25.09% -13.75% -1.99% -18.01% -22.33% -15.22% -14.06% -17.15%
% chg 07 to 08 -42.13% 18.66% 30.13% 104.31% -28.86% 26.24% 36.35% 7.58% 6.01% 29.47% 3.44% 5.27% -5.17% 20.70% 14.76% 11.77% 11.24%
Total Turkey RTC Production, USDA million pounds   © EMI Analytics
  JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC JFM AMJ JAS OND ANN
2002 483 448 447 491 497 453 486 482 445 526 492 463 1,378 1,441 1,412 1,482 5,713
2003 480 431 468 474 Text Box: SAMPLE
482
482 494 456 460 528 456 439 1,380 1,439 1,409 1,423 5,650
2004 440 398 471 449 449 467 462 470 458 466 483 440 1,309 1,366 1,390 1,389 5,454
2005 455 409 463 446 461 490 432 488 454 484 483 438 1,328 1,397 1,375 1,405 5,504
2006 447 416 492 435 495 509 459 499 461 540 505 428 1,355 1,440 1,419 1,473 5,686
2007 485 446 482 463 512 507 505 522 461 586 527 461 1,413 1,482 1,488 1,575 5,958
2008 546 506 488 520 521 515 536 492 509 597 474 496 1,540 1,556 1,537 1,567 6,200
% chg 06 to 07 8.48% 7.36% -2.05% 6.38% 3.30% -0.38% 9.99% 4.53% 0.06% 8.45% 4.49% 7.90% 4.31% 2.93% 4.84% 6.93% 4.77%
% chg 07 to 08 12.61% 13.45% 1.27% 12.44% 1.76% 1.50% 6.12% -5.78% 10.38% 1.86% -10.17% 7.52% 9.01% 5.01% 3.27% -0.51% 4.06%
Total Turkey RTC per Kill Day, EMI Analytics Calculation million pounds   © EMI Analytics
  JAN FEB MAR APR MAY JUN JUL AUG SEP OCT NOV DEC JFM AMJ JAS OND ANN
2001 21 20 21 20 22 22 22 22 23 24 23 21 20.8 20.6 21.2 21.6 22.2
2002 22 22 21 22 Text Box: SAMPLE
23
23 22 22 22 23 25 22 21.9 22.0 22.1 22.5 22.4
2003 22 22 22 22 23 23 22 22 22 23 24 20 21.9 21.8 22.3 22.5 22.8
2004 21 20 20 20 22 21 22 21 22 22 23 21 20.4 20.3 21.1 21.4 21.9
2005 22 20 20 21 22 22 22 21 22 23 23 21 20.8 20.6 21.1 21.8 21.9
2006 20 21 21 22 23 23 23 22 23 25 24 21 20.8 21.3 21.9 22.5 22.9
2007 21 22 22 22 23 24 24 23 24 25 25 23 21.8 22.1 22.4 23.2 23.8
2008 25 24 23 24 25 25 24 23 24 26 25 23 24.1 23.7 23.9 24.3 24.6
% chg 06 to 07 3.76% 7.36% 2.40% 1.31% 3.30% 4.37% 4.75% 4.53% 5.32% 3.74% 4.49% 7.90% 4.49% 3.64% 2.35% 3.02% 4.14%
% chg 07 to 08 17.73% 8.04% 6.09% 7.32% 6.61% 1.50% 1.30% 3.19% -0.13% 1.86% -0.72% -2.25% 10.52% 7.16% 6.67% 5.06% 3.10%
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